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I broke up this topic because 99% of investors have never heard about private placements.
Here is a bunch of syndication doc examples which includes an example K1 that shows the bonus depreciation in the first few months of ownership: Share folder
Being an good LP (not over the top one who wastes a lot of time analyzing a deal) requires you look at the right things for example:
3% rent increases per year
You may have to calculate this for yourself as most syndicators will not openly point this out because they might be being too aggressive. 3% here is a very high estimate.
Here is another example… See if you can spot out what does not working in terms of Income, Vacancy, Loss to Lease, or Expenses.
The annual rent increases after the first year bump is 2%. This is acceptable for this good market however the Vacancy & Loss to Lease (people not paying) is too low. Usually we like to see a Vacancy of 5-10% depending on the market with 10-15% in the first year as we kick out bad tenants. The Loss to Lease (or deadbeats not paying) is typically 2-5% with a surge of 3-8% in the first year.
Expenses at a bit over $4,000/unit is good.
A cash out refi part of proforma in year 3 to come up with the total return. A refinance is a big “if.” I would rather see how the property preforms without a refinance event.
The IRR (internal rate of return) is a time-weighted return metric that is common in both financial accounting and real estate investing, where the time value of money and liquidity risk are major factors in investment decisions.
Investors like to use IRR because it seems to take into account the length of hold and how hard you money is working. It is inherently understood that there is no two similar investments because they are not commodities and therefore every deal has different timeframes. IRR is not always useful as an apples-to-apples comparison between two equity investments. If two equity investments have two different target hold periods and different business plans, IRR may not be a useful device for assessing which is the more appealing investment.
Take the example of two hypothetical realized investments:
If these two investments play out as intended, the projects will yield a net 20% IRR and net 10% IRR to LP investors, respectively. However, this does not mean that the former value-add project is 2 times as good as the latter portfolio investment. Which one is more appealing, and to what degree, depends on the preferences and strategy of the investor evaluating these two opportunities.
Here are several dimensions that are critical to real estate investors, but are not expressed adequately by the IRR metric alone:
In this hypothetical example, the value-add investment would have yielded an IRR in the neighborhood of 20% (depending on exact timing of exit), significantly higher than the stabilized portfolio. However, the realized total yield and equity multiple of the stabilized portfolio was significantly higher, albeit over a much longer term.
This hypothetical example does not prove that either profile of investment is better, as each should be examined through the lens of the investor’s risk preference. It does illustrate that IRR can be misleading when evaluated in isolation. A single return metric should only be used for apples-to-apples comparison when the risk profile and target hold period of two potential investments are similar. To evaluate more disparate real estate investments, it is more valuable to examine all available return metrics in the context of your investing strategy, risk preference, and composition of your individual portfolio.
Sarcastically put… I can make whatever IRR you want to see! I just have to assume or slide up cashflow a bit earlier and magically my IRR will go up 2-3% a year but the total equity multiple or total return (say 100% ROI in 5 years) stays the same.
Personally, I don’t really look at IRR. It is a function of returns over time where the sooner you get money the higher the IRR goes cause its weighted appropriately. The best way to explaining this is for you to download an IRR calculator spreadsheet or build your own simple one and play around with one. Showing an unrealistic refinance in year 2 instead of year 3-4 will likely turn a 13% IRR deal to 16-17%. Magic!
For what its worth most deals I deem meeting minimal IRR standards is 13-15% but you have to dig a little deeper to uncover the real placements of cashflows and capitalization events… and then dig even deeper to verify the assumptions such as occupancy, rent increases per year, and what reversion cap rate was used.
Again I don’t look for IRR cause its manipulated a lot instead I look at total return on a 5 year basis. Its like sampling a NFL players 40 yard dash but for apartment underwriting. I’m sure there are other ways to do it but weather its right or wrong… I try to be consistent and I’m just trying to go in and pick the best in the field.
At the end of the day the number analysis (what assumptions were used) is only 1/2 of the battle in vetting a deal to invest in. The first is people. Never work with anyone you don’t know, like, or trust. That is how I lost $40,000 in my first LP deal.
Whenever I get a pitch-deck… first off I usually know if I’m going to invest in it even before I run the numbers because I know the people and I know them personally and we have a relationship outside of real estate. But if its a cold intro I always as “how the heck is this guy/gal?”
It sounds basic but I Google stalk them and find them on Facebook and Linked In. In this day and age if someone does not have a digital footprint that is their authentic self I don’t want to work with them plus I want to work with real people not robots.
Real estate is all marketing wether its a $500,000 primary residence or a $20M syndication. Don’t get mislead my good looking people in suits with a blue or nature back drop.
#BluePantsBrownShoes
Another random above. Its is very rare that these COLD pitches ever lead somewhere. Most times it is just a waste of time. Everyone can create a nice logo, website, and take a pretty profile picture.
As I am looking up their profiles I am searching for common connections who I can ping and get more information. This is where it is critical to build real relationships where it spans more than real estate. Here are some tips for that. In addition the Group Coaching Mastermind should be a great start for that.
Your network is your net worth is uber important once you cross over a net worth of over $500,000 and start to become a more passive investor.
Other things to be mindful are is this a “student & celebrity” sponsorship team where the student is doing a deal (something you don’t want) and the celebrity is taking a big part of the General Partnership and just lending their profile picture and has little of the day to day management. As a new passive investor you are likely to be presented junk. See Bonus section for more info.
I repeat for emphasis… real estate is a people business. It is not like buying a stock where you can get wherever. You cannot apply some fancy AI or algorithm. You have to create a network to vet out good operators. You are investing in non-commodity investments where no two are alike.